The Outlook for Medicare CLFS Rates

The Outlook for Medicare CLFS Rates

The Outlook for Medicare CLFS Rates

Without legislative action, Medicare rates for nearly 800 lab tests 
will be cut by up to 15% effective January 1, 2026. “A lot of labs 
have become complacent after five straight years of Medicare CLFS rate 
freezes,” says Mark Birenbaum, PhD, Executive Director of the National  Independent Lab Association (St. Louis, MO). “But they need to start  thinking about the potential for rate cuts next year.”

Birenbaum says that NILA is working with the American Clinical Laboratory  Assn. to introduce a new “PAMA-fix” bill within the next month or two. Any new bill would seek to delay the scheduled Medicare CLFS rate cuts for  2026 and ensure that hospital lab rates are correctly represented 
in future private-payer payments surveys and rate calculations. 
It’s too late to get a PAMA-fix into the Big Beautiful Bill currently being  debated in the Senate. 

The hope is that a PAMA-fix could get inserted into a major government  funding or healthcare policy bill at the end of the year. But this will be a  tough hill to climb, and time is running short. 

Here’s an outline of three possible scenarios: 

Scenario 1: PAMA Proceeds as Scheduled by Law
The first PAMA survey, which was based on private-payer lab rates from  2016, resulted in three straight years (2018-2020) of 10% cuts to most lab  tests on the Medicare CLFS. A second PAMA survey and additional rate cuts  were then frozen for five straight years (2021-2025). 

Under current law, Medicare CLFS rates for approximately 800 lab tests will be reduced by up to 15% on January 1, 2026. See table on page 4. 

In addition, the second PAMA survey is scheduled to begin on January 1,  2026. Independent labs, hospitals and large POLs are required to submit  their private-payer volumes and reimbursement rates from the period  January 1, 2019 to June 30, 2019 to CMS by March 31, 2026. CMS will use 
this data to calculate new median private-payer rates to set the Medicare CLFS for 2027-2029.

Scenario 2: A PAMA-Fix is Introduced and Passed into Law
Despite widespread support from both Democrats and Republicans, the  last PAMA-fix bill SALSA (H.R. 2377/S. 1000) failed to get passed into law. The  culprit was cost. The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) had projected that  passing SALSA into law would cost $6 billion over 10 years. A separate  analysis by ACLA had estimated the cost at less than $3 billion. 

ACLA is now crafting a new PAMA-fix proposal and seeking supporters to  introduce it. A simpler and less costly alternative to SALSA is what’s needed. 

There is little argument that current PAMA law pertaining to labs is  unworkable. In particular, it will be nearly impossible for most hospital labs  to dig up their private-payer volume and payment data from 2019 and  report it to CMS, notes Josh Kramer, Managing Partner at the laboratory IT  company Leap Consulting Group (Teaneck, NJ). Kramer says that many  hospitals have gone through system upgrades and changes since 2019 and these hospitals may not have historical claims data readily available from  legacy systems. In addition, PAMA does not allow hospitals to ignore paper  claims data. And smaller hospitals may not have detailed lab data from  paper claims loaded in their systems at all, according to Kramer. 

A new PAMA-fix bill will need to include a mechanism (e.g., statistical  sampling) to ensure that the higher rates paid to hospital labs are  accurately surveyed and included in CLFS rate calculations. 

Scenario 3: CLFS Remains Frozen and PAMA is Delayed Another Year
In previous scoring of one-year delays in PAMA payment cuts and reporting, the CBO assumed that private payers were adjusting their lab test reimbursement rates for inflation. Based on this assumption, the CBOconcluded that the suspension of PAMAwould result in cost savings.  The CBO is no longer assuming private payer inflation updates. As a result,  another one-year PAMA delay is unlikely to be scored to provide savings and  thus unlikely to be passed into law.

Laboratory Economics Issues Research Report On U.S. Laboratory Demographic Trends

Laboratory Economics Issues Research Report On U.S. Laboratory Demographic Trends

Laboratory Economics Issues Research Report On U.S. Laboratory Demographic Trends

Laboratory Economics has just released The U.S. Laboratory Demographic Trends & Strategic Outlook 2025-2028. With this special report, you can tap into 200 pages of proprietary market research that reveals critical data and information about key business trends affecting the U.S. laboratory testing market.

U.S. Laboratory Demographic Trends & Strategic Outlook 2025-2028

The report reveals that the U.S. laboratory testing market represented an estimated $137.5 billion of revenue in 2025 with a long-term annual growth rate of 3-5%. Growth is currently being driven mostly by increased PCR-based microbiology testing and next-generation sequencing (NGS) tests to analyze genetic changes in cancer cells

The fastest-growing geographic markets are all concentrated in the South
Central and Southeast regions, including Sarasota, FL, Austin, TX,
Raleigh, NC, Orlando, FL, and Jacksonville, FL.

The U.S. laboratory testing market faces big challenges, including
post-pandemic employee wage inflation combined with five straight years
of flat reimbursement rates from Medicare and commercial insurance
payers. “Despite these challenges, the U.S. lab industry has
demonstrated a long track record of consistent growth,” according to
Jondavid Klipp, President of Laboratory Economics.

U.S. Laboratory Demographic Trends & Strategic Outlook 2025-2028